The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jeonnam Dragons 21.9%
Draw 28.9%
Chungnam Asan 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
29%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
28.5%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeonnam Dragons's form might have worsened.
Chungnam Asan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chungnam Asan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jeonnam Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chungnam Asan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Choi Chi-Won ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Mohammed N. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 2, Yang Ji-san ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 2 - 2, Park Tae-Yong (Penalty Awarded),
83', 2 - 3, Kim Jong-Min ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Lokolingoy C. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 4, Park Tae-Yong ⚽,
90+6', Choi Bo-Kyung 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 0.
Recent form of Jeonnam Dragons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Chungnam Asan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chungnam Asan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jeonnam Dragons won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Jeonnam Dragons - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.