Match Info

K League 2 - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Yishunsin Stadium (Asan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Chungnam Asan		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.25	3.00	Watch
	2.15	3.10	3.00
	1.96	3.20	3.45
	2.23	3.41	3.45
	2.14	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.20	3.35	3.25
	2.17	3.16	3.10	Watch
	2.19	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chungnam Asan
43%

Draw
28.3%

Gyeongnam
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chungnam Asan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gyeongnam will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chungnam Asan: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 3. Lee Ho-In 20. Choi Bo-Kyung (C) 6. Choi Hee-Won 14. Park Seong-Woo 10. Son Jun-Ho 70. Ju-Young P. 24. Park Se-Jik 17. Kim Ju-Sung 97. Lokolingoy C. 11. Denisson Silva	13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 27. Son Ho-Jun 30. Jeong Hyeon-wook 26. Choi Jung-Won (C) 24. Yun Il-Lok 66. Cho Sang-Jun 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 8. Lee Chan-Dong 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 90. Kim Hyeon-oh
Substitutes
8. Choi Chi-Won 7. Han Kyo-Won 66. Jeong Woo-Jae 88. Jung S. 33. Kim Hye-seong 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 9. Kim Jong-Min 84. Mohammed N. 71. Yun Je-hee	2. Bae Hyun-Seo 4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 19. Jeong Chung-Geun 29. Karadzic A. 28. Kim Jun-Ho 18. Kim Seon-Ho 1. Shin Jun-Seo (G) 7. Won Ki-Jong
Coaches
Gaspar A.	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Son Jun-Ho ⚽, Kim Ju-Sung (A),
21', Choi Hee-Won 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Kim Hyeon-oh ⚽, Yun Il-Lok (A),
45+2', Choi Hee-Won 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Seong-Woo ↓, Jeong Woo-Jae ↑,
46', Ju-Young P. ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
46', Choi Bo-Kyung ↓, Kim Hye-seong ↑,
46', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
46', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Kim Seon-Ho ↑,
56', Yun Il-Lok 🟨,
60', Denisson Silva ↓, Kim Jong-Min ↑,
64', Yun Il-Lok ↓, Bae Hyun-Seo ↑,
69', Jeong Hyeon-wook ↓, Kim Jun-Ho ↑,
76', Lokolingoy C. ↓, Yun Je-hee ↑,
82', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
84', Kim Hyeon-oh ↓, Jeong Chung-Geun ↑,
88', Bae Hyun-Seo 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chungnam Asan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chungnam Asan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Asan	25	9	7	9	34:31	3	34
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.77%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Gimpo - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Yongin - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTWTL
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Gyeongnam - Yongin	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
12.10.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:0
09.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	2:2
17.05.25	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	1:3
01.09.24	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	3:0
22.06.24	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	4:0
16.03.24	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	1:2
29.08.23	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	0:1

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