Match Info

K League 2 - Round 33

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3	2.85	Watch
	2.28	3.1	3	Watch
	2.37	3.35	3.17
	2.18	3.18	3.37	Watch
	2.21	2.98	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.33)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
41%

Draw
30.1%

Suwon Bluewings
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	35.7%	7.1%

Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Incheon: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 17. Kim Seong-Min 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 6. Mun Ji-Hwan 88. Jung Won-Jin 14. Barrow M. 77. Park Seung-Ho 8. Shin Jin-Ho	1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 20. Jo Yun-Seong 5. Han Ho-gang 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 32. Jeong Dong-yun 14. Hong Won-Jin 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 23. Lee Ki-Je 70. Matheus Serafim 9. Ilyuchenko S. (C) 11. Paulo Henrique
Substitutes
20. Delbridge H. 26. Gang Yun-gu 27. Kim Bo-Sub 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 3. Lee Sang-Gi 9. Mugosa S. 99. Park Ho-Min	6. Choi Young-Jun 30. Kang Seong-Jin 7. Kim Hyun 99. Kim Min-Woo 17. Lee Min-Hyuk 91. Park Ji-Won 21. Yang Hyung-Mo (G)
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Byun Sung-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Jeong Dong-yun 🟨,
24', Gerso 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Paulo Henrique ↓, Park Ji-Won ↑,
58', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
58', Shin Jin-Ho ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Lee Myoung-Joo (A),
69', Lee Ki-Je ↓, Kim Hyun ↑,
69', Jo Yun-Seong ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
73', Jung Won-Jin ↓, Delbridge H. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Lee Min-Hyuk ⚽,
86', Kim Gun-Hee 🟨,
88', Lee Gyu-Seong ↓, Choi Young-Jun ↑,
89', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Gang Yun-gu ↑,
89', Kim Seong-Min ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Incheon has had a series of away games.

Incheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
04.10.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Seoul E-Land - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Incheon United - Gimpo	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cheonan City - Incheon United	3:4 ✺
07.09.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
04.10.25	Suwon Bluewings - Bucheon	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Chungnam Asan - Suwon Bluewings	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Seoul E-Land - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
15.06.25	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	1:2
01.03.25	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	2:0
South Korean K-League 1
30.09.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	2:0
South Korean Cup
28.06.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	3:2
South Korean K-League 1
11.06.23	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	0:0
05.05.23	Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings	0:1
11.09.22	Suwon Bluewings - Incheon United	3:3

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