Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Jeonnam Dragons		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.35	1.86
	3.65	3.4	1.92
	4.1	3.5	1.93
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	3.9	3.62	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.04)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonnam Dragons
23.7%

Draw
26.8%

Melbourne City
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonnam Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Jeonnam Dragons - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Jeonnam Dragons is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melbourne City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jeonnam Dragons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jeonnam Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonnam Dragons
AFC Champions League
21.04.22	Melbourne City - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	United City - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
10.04.22	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
21.04.22	Melbourne City - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Melbourne City - United City	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Pathum United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Australian A-League
09.04.22	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	3:0 ✺
06.04.22	Melbourne City - Sydney	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
21.04.22	Melbourne City - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1

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