Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	Melbourne City		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.9
	1.6	3.8	4.9
	1.58	4.06	5.84
	1.47	3.9	6
	1.6	4	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)	3.9 ↑ (3.48)	5.43 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
59.2%

Draw
23.8%

Jeonnam Dragons
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Melbourne City - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Melbourne City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jeonnam Dragons is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Melbourne City is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
18.04.22	Melbourne City - United City	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Pathum United - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Australian A-League
09.04.22	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	3:0 ✺
06.04.22	Melbourne City - Sydney	4:0 ✺
02.04.22	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- Jeonnam Dragons
AFC Champions League
18.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	United City - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
10.04.22	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLT

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