Match Info

A-League - Round 4

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: King A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Amazon Prime Video, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.82	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.67	2.42
	3.05	3.52	2.24	Watch
	2.88	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	3.52 (3.52)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
32.7%

Draw
26.7%

Melbourne City
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Melbourne City (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 40%). Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Duncan J. (G) 22. Rawlins J. 21. Roderick (C) 4. Jackson L. 2. Davidson J. 8. Valadon J. 10. Genreau D. 23. Jelacic K. 64. Mata J. 14. Grimaldi M. 9. Vergos N.	1. Beach P. (G) 13. Atkinson N. (C) 27. Trewin K. 22. Ferreyra G. 44. Kutleshi B. 30. Kuen A. 10. Kanamori T. 19. Schreiber Z. 47. Rahmani K. 17. Caputo M. 20. Mazzeo B.
Substitutes
11. Clarismario 29. Dragicevic O. 15. Esposito S. 16. Inserra J. 19. Reec J. 34. Stella X. 40. Warshawsky J. (G)	37. Antoniou P. 38. Baker B. 4. Bonetig L. 39. Durakovic E. 15. Nabbout A. 33. Ochsenham D. (G) 36. Shillington H.
Coaches
Diles A.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Kuen A. (A),
15', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
30', Genreau D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rahmani K. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Antoniou P. ⚽, Kanamori T. (A),
57', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
60', Caputo M. 🟨,
61', Diles A. 🟨,
62', Mazzeo B. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
62', Kutleshi B. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
64', Jelacic K. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
75', Schreiber Z. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
80', Grimaldi M. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,
80', Valadon J. ↓, Stella X. ↑,
83', Kuen A. 🟨,
90+3', Antoniou P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.

Melbourne City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Melbourne City: Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Memeti M. (Hamstring Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Rashani E. (Inactive) Souprayen S. (Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
31.10.25	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	5:2 ✺
18.10.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.09.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	Hume City - Melbourne Victory	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTWW
- Melbourne City
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Australian A-League
31.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	4:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Melbourne City - Buriram United	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League
18.10.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
31.05.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0
22.02.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:2
21.12.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	1:1
26.10.24	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:3
05.05.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:1 penalties
06.04.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:1
17.02.24	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	0:0

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