Match Info

A-League

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	SPOTV Asia
Australia	19:40	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Cambodia	15:40	MyTV
Germany	10:40	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	14:10	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	15:40	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	16:40	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	16:40	Astro Go
Mongolia	16:40	SPOTV
Philippines	16:40	SPOTV
South Korea	17:40	SPOTV
Switzerland	10:40	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	15:40	SPOTV
United Kingdom	09:40	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
Usa	04:40	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	15:40	SPOTV
International	08:40	OneFootball TV


	Melbourne Victory		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.80	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.95
	2.28	3.50	2.80
	2.29	3.71	3.10
	2.46	3.52	2.81	Watch
	2.25	3.60	3.05
	2.16	3.88	3.11	Watch
	2.23	3.55	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.96 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
41.9%

Draw
26.1%

Melbourne City
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 4. Ziereis P. 3. Davidson J. (C) 36. Shillington H. 8. Valadon J. 10. Genreau D. 21. May G. 14. Grimaldi M. 23. Jelacic K. 44. Nduka C.	1. Freke M. (G) 13. Atkinson N. 4. Bonetig L. 2. Delbridge H. 16. Behich A. (C) 19. MacNicol Q. 14. Kutleshi B. 24. Rahmani K. 23. Memeti M. 15. Nabbout A. 11. Mabil A.
Substitutes
11. Clarismario 29. Ghossaini M. 18. Lino F. 15. Lockyer T. 9. Sawyer H. 22. Stella X. 1. Warshawsky J. (G)	38. Baker B. 39. Ballah R. 18. Cascante J. 77. Kanamori T. 7. Leckie M. 10. Marcondes E. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G)
Coaches
Savarese G.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Jelacic K. ⚽, Nduka C. (A),
45+1', Nabbout A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kutleshi B. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Nabbout A. ⚽, Marcondes E. (A),
58', Delbridge H. 🟨,
62', Nabbout A. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
62', MacNicol Q. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
67', Jelacic K. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
70', Bonetig L. ↓, Cascante J. ↑,
71', Inserra J. ↓, Lino F. ↑,
81', Davidson J. 🟨,
83', Memeti M. ↓, Ballah R. ↑,
84', Nduka C. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
84', Grimaldi M. ↓, Ghossaini M. ↑,
90+6', Clarismario 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.

Melbourne Victory has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Melbourne Victory may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne Victory has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Melbourne Victory: D'Arrigo L. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Melbourne City: Lopane A. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Melbourne Victory against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:18 goals (averaging 1.4:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Melbourne Victory	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
10	Melbourne City	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Melbourne City: 13.92% Melbourne Victory: 12.85%

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne Victory - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
17.10.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
14.10.26	Melbourne Victory - FC Seoul	3:0 ✺
Australian Cup
10.10.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory	2:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	Viettel - Melbourne Victory	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
09.09.26	Sydney - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTW
- Melbourne City
Australian A-League
17.10.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	3:1 ✺
Australian Cup
11.08.26	Queensland Lions - Melbourne City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Melbourne City - Palermo	0:2 ✺
Australian Cup
26.07.26	Weston Bears - Melbourne City	0:3 ✺
Australian A-League
02.05.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
21.02.26	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:3
20.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	0:1
08.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:2
31.05.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0
22.02.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:2
21.12.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	1:1
26.10.24	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:3

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