Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)


	Gwangju		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.3
	1.71	3.55	4.5
	1.67	3.78	5.36
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.55	3.88	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	4.86 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
55.9%

Draw
25.2%

Jeonnam Dragons
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: Gwangju will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2.

Gwangju is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jeonnam Dragons is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Jeonnam Dragons have a series of home games.

In this match Gwangju is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gwangju to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
13.08.22	Ansan Greeners - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
07.08.22	Chungnam Asan - Gwangju	0:2 ✺
30.07.22	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:2 ✺
15.07.22	Gwangju - Anyang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWT
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
13.08.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Anyang	2:2 ✺
08.08.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Ansan Greeners - Jeonnam Dragons	3:0 ✺
24.07.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
17.07.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
18.06.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	1:1
10.04.22	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0
03.11.19	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2
03.08.19	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	1:1
04.05.19	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0
30.03.19	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	1:2
South Korean Cup
27.03.19	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	0:1

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