Match Info

BRAZIL: BAIANO - ROUND 8

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Jequié		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.95	2.99	3.3
	2	3.26	3.51
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	1.98	3.1	3.72
	2.02	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	3.5 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jequié
45.3%

Draw
28.9%

Itabuna
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jequié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Jequié - Itabuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcos (G) 11. Alex Goncalves 9. Badio I. 16. Capa 5. Elivelton 8. Guga Freira 4. Jean 10. Joao Grilo (C) 7. Kaynan 2. Marcos Bebe 3. Sergio Baiano	1. Jorge (G) 29. Carlinhos 31. Diego Augusto (C) 8. Gabriel Pereira 20. Guilherme Ivo 2. Joao Neto 10. Jussimar 11. Reinaldo 9. Romario 14. Vinicius Tsumita 4. Vital
Substitutes
23. Abner 18. Arthur Cacule 20. Barrozo G. 19. Bruno Henrique 15. Caetano 13. Chaveirinho 6. Espeto 14. Gabriel Macedo 24. Goncalves G. 21. Medina 17. Vagner 12. Zilio R. (G)	18. Guilla 25. Handrey 23. Heleno W. 13. Italo 5. Joadson 21. Manoel 22. Patyego (G) 7. Silvano 24. Vagner 15. Vinicius

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jequié could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jequié is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.02.24	Jacuipense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	2:2 ✺
31.01.24	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Jequié - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Juazeirense - Jequié	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWWL
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.02.24	Itabuna - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
07.02.24	Bahia - Itabuna	5:0 ✺
01.02.24	Juazeirense - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Itabuna - Jacuipense	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	Itabuna - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWT

Jequié - Itabuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide