Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Mertens J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	2.63	4.00	2.25
	2.60	3.75	2.25
	3.00	3.70	2.07
	2.98	3.94	2.23
	3.01	3.82	2.13	Watch
	2.50	3.60	2.25
	2.89	3.74	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.98)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
33.2%

Draw
24.5%

Sogndal
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Raufoss - Sogndal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sogndal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 2. Sjol J. 6. Froysa E. 11. Fremstad N. 28. van der Spa A. 7. Sildnes E. 15. de Ornelas de Conno D. 18. Engebakken T. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 27. Zekhnini R. 9. Rogulj A.	1. Jendal L. (G) 35. Hillestad E. L. 39. Flo E. 5. Granheim S. A. 23. Barkarson A. 15. Helen O. 10. Skaanes K. 6. Hoyland M. 16. Vapne L. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
10. Aanesland M. 30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 31. Danbolt U. 22. Da Silva F. F. 25. Engebakken T. E. 16. Larsen M. 23. Selnaes J. S. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)	36. Aroy M. 20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 2. Bras D. 18. Hagen V. 4. Hovland E. 32. Oren M. 19. Pippola T.
Coaches
Berget O. P.	Pimenta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Engebakken T. ⚽,
18', Froysa E. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Froysa E. ⚽, Sjol J. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Pedersen S. ⚽, Flo E. (A),
41', de Ornelas de Conno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Sildnes E. ↓, Aanesland M. ↑,
63', Hoyland M. ↓, Pippola T. ↑,
71', Fremstad N. ↓, Selnaes J. S. ↑,
71', Zekhnini R. ↓, Asvestad E. ↑,
71', van der Spa A. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
73', Helen O. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
73', Flo E. ↓, Hagen V. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Rogulj A. ⚽, Asvestad E. (A),
85', Engebakken T. ↓, Da Silva F. F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sogndal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Raufoss won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38:53	-15	23
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26:61	-35	19

Last Results with these Odds

Raufoss - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Sogndal - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.7%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	6:1 ✺
31.05.26	Raufoss - Haugesund	3:4 ✺
25.05.26	Åsane - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Raufoss - Bryne	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LLLWW
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Sogndal - Moss	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Strømmen - Sogndal	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Hødd - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Raufoss - Sogndal	1:3
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2
02.09.24	Raufoss - Sogndal	4:1
22.05.24	Sogndal - Raufoss	1:1
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0
06.05.23	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:1
29.10.22	Raufoss - Sogndal	0:3

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