Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Jerv		Tromsdalen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.7
	1.83	3.75	3.75
	1.81	3.62	4.1
	1.88	3.75	3.77	Watch
	1.78	3.65	3.8
	1.83	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	3.81 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
50.7%

Draw
25.1%

Tromsdalen
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerv's performance.

Tromsdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tromsdalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Jerv - Tromsdalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (G) 19. Mafi I. 16. Krogelien H. 15. Gueye M. 2. van der Meer J. 10. Seufert N. 8. Ugland M. 6. Wichmann M. 3. Larade L. 17. Furaha J. 14. Wilson P.	12. Nilsen T. (G) 33. Vik I. 24. Breivik C. 14. Pedersen S. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 22. Eliassen A. 17. Sandbukt A. 11. Henriksen S. 23. Larsen M. 13. Rekdal T. 7. Swaleh K.
Substitutes
25. Endresen A. 4. Jablinski K. 5. Markmanrud L. 1. Olsvoll A. (G) 40. Osestad S. 22. Race E. 11. Schroter F. 13. Skeie P. 80. Trengereid M.	28. Dyrkoren B. 9. Hafstad D. 5. Hafstad T. 32. Johansen P. 16. Johnsgard H. 1. Kamsvag K. (G) 19. Pedersen A. 34. Svendsen A. 15. Weber J.
Coaches
Bohinen L.	Samuelsen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Wichmann M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Seufert N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Swaleh K. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
46', Henriksen S. ↓, Pedersen A. ↑,
51', Bohinen L. 🟨,
61', Sandbukt A. ↓, Johansen P. ↑,
65', Mafi I. ↓, Markmanrud L. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Wilson P. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Hafstad D. ⚽,
74', Rekdal T. ↓, Dyrkoren B. ↑,
74', Pedersen S. ↓, Hafstad T. ↑,
76', Furaha J. ↓, Osestad S. ↑,
79', Hafstad T. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 3.

Jerv is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tromsdalen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jerv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Jerv won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.11.24	Tromsdalen - Jerv	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Kvik Halden - Jerv	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Jerv - Notodden	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Hødd - Jerv	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW
- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.11.24	Tromsdalen - Jerv	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.10.24	Tromsdalen - Stjørdals-Blink	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Eidsvold Turn - Tromsdalen	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Tromsdalen - Skeid	4:3 ✺
29.09.24	Strømmen - Tromsdalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.11.24	Tromsdalen - Jerv	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.09.19	Jerv - Tromsdalen	1:0
06.06.19	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:3
11.11.18	Jerv - Tromsdalen	0:1
06.06.18	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:0
24.09.17	Tromsdalen - Jerv	1:4
18.06.17	Jerv - Tromsdalen	1:1

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