Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 29

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Jerv		Åsane

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.6
	2.4	3.75	2.65	Watch
	2.42	3.85	2.69
	2.35	3.89	2.77
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.39	3.72	2.67
	2.32	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.32)	3.71 ↓ (3.94)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
39.9%

Draw
25.2%

Åsane
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Åsane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Jerv - Åsane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (G) 4. Mutsinzi A. 29. Coly A. 3. Larade L. 7. Hauge R. 15. Brenden E. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 8. Ugland M. 19. Mafi I. 17. Diabate B. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.	1. Ostgaard E. (G) 10. Barmen K. 3. Steen E. (C) 40. Kolskogen O. 22. Sjatil H. 16. Fredriksen D. 18. Kallevag O. 8. Sildnes E. 14. Haga K. 9. Flotve Myklebust E. 19. Larsen K.
Substitutes
26. Dirdal G. (G) 25. Endresen A. 10. Fernandes L. 9. Hustad E. 16. Krogelien H. 24. Myklebust J. 27. Philibert E. 5. Sandberg E. 21. van der Sluys D.	5. Austevoll S. 31. Hjorteseth I. 12. Madsen O. A. (G) 28. Ndiaye M. 29. Stephensen K. 7. Thornes M. 2. Ueland M.
Coaches
Bohinen L.	Rossland M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 3.

Jerv is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Åsane is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Åsane could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jerv won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.10.23	Skeid - Jerv	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Jerv - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ranheim - Jerv	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Jerv - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT
- Åsane Fotbal
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.23	Åsane - Moss	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Kristiansund - Åsane	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Åsane - Fredrikstad	0:4 ✺
01.10.23	Åsane - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Sogndal - Åsane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.04.23	Åsane - Jerv	1:2
15.09.21	Jerv - Åsane	3:1
05.07.21	Åsane - Jerv	0:1
10.12.20	Jerv - Åsane	0:2
08.09.20	Åsane - Jerv	5:1
16.09.18	Åsane - Jerv	2:0
06.05.18	Jerv - Åsane	1:1

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