Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 27

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Jerv		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.88
	3.6	4	1.87	Watch
	3.38	4.13	1.96
	3.38	4.14	1.96
	3.2	3.9	1.85
	3.4	3.92	1.95
	3.3	3.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.73)	3.96 ↑ (3.8)	1.91 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
27.5%

Draw
23.6%

Kongsvinger
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerv's form might have worsened.

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Jerv - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (G) 19. Mafi I. (C) 4. Mutsinzi A. 5. Sandberg E. 29. Coly A. 15. Brenden E. 8. Ugland M. 3. Larade L. 7. Hauge R. 17. Diabate B. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.	31. Smedplass A. (G) 16. Hellan M. 5. Holme F. 3. Grodas V. 12. Haakenstad M. 7. Taylor E. 10. Gerson L. 20. Grundt J. 9. Guven A. (C) 22. Langrekken L. 23. Vinjor M.
Substitutes
26. Dirdal G. (G) 88. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 10. Fernandes L. 16. Krogelien H. 24. Myklebust J.	13. Aadnoy M. 11. Andersen M. 15. Eriksen M. 14. Haga M. 18. Holtan J. 19. Jahr K. 41. Lindegaard M. (G) 21. Lysgard D. 26. Myrlid E.
Coaches
Kjono E.	Vennberg J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0.

Jerv has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kongsvinger is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kongsvinger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Jerv won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.10.23	Ranheim - Jerv	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Jerv - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Jerv - Start	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Jerv	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.10.23	Start - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Kongsvinger - Bryne	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Kongsvinger - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Hødd - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.05.23	Kongsvinger - Jerv	2:1
17.10.20	Kongsvinger - Jerv	1:1
10.08.20	Jerv - Kongsvinger	1:1
09.11.19	Jerv - Kongsvinger	0:2
28.04.19	Kongsvinger - Jerv	1:1
28.10.18	Jerv - Kongsvinger	1:2
15.04.18	Kongsvinger - Jerv	2:0

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