Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 28

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Skeid		Jerv

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.75	4.33	1.53
	4.75	4.5	1.6	Watch
	5.2	4.55	1.54
	4.57	4.53	1.64
	4.5	4.33	1.53
	4.7	4.45	1.6
	4.6	4.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (2.77)	4.42 ↑ (3.83)	1.57 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
19.5%

Draw
21.1%

Jerv
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

24.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

24%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Skeid - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Skeid will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Jerv will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jerv: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 24. Johansen T. 5. Hoyland L. 3. Flo F. 11. Hickson D. 18. Sundgot O. 39. Rise B. (C) 27. Kvia-Egeskog S. 14. Andresen H. 9. Buduson J. 28. Williams N.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 4. Mutsinzi A. 29. Coly A. 3. Larade L. 7. Hauge R. 15. Brenden E. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 8. Ugland M. 19. Mafi I. 17. Diabate B. 9. Hustad E.
Substitutes
34. Arsbog N. 19. Diallo O. 30. Lunde Ofstad K. (G) 8. Melchior M. 2. Naustdal T. 7. Ness U.	26. Dirdal G. (G) 88. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 24. Myklebust J. 27. Philibert E. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L. 5. Sandberg E. 54. Syvertsen P.
Coaches
Erlandsen A.	Kjono E.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Skeid is Relegated to

Skeid is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jerv is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Skeid won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Skeid won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.23	Bryne - Skeid	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Skeid - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Mjøndalen - Skeid	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Skeid - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Moss - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.23	Jerv - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ranheim - Jerv	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Jerv - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Jerv - Start	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.04.23	Jerv - Skeid	3:2
25.08.19	Jerv - Skeid	5:1
14.04.19	Skeid - Jerv	0:0

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