Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday


	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty		Guangzhou City

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.5	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.9
	1.61	4.11	5.78
	1.52	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.63	4.55	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	4.12 ↓ (4.26)	5.55 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
60.4%

Draw
22.7%

Guangzhou City
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

12.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	13.8%	27.6%

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou City Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Jiangsu Sainty will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jiangsu Sainty: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Jiangsu Sainty has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou R&F has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guangzhou R&F could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jiangsu Sainty is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Jiangsu Sainty won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangsu Sainty won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty
Chinese Super League
08.09.20	Dalian Pro - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	1:1 ✺
03.09.20	Shandong Taishan - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:1 ✺
30.08.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Henan Songshan Longmen	5:2 ✺
24.08.20	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
20.08.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTL
- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
08.09.20	Guangzhou City - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1 ✺
04.09.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Guangzhou City - Shenzhen	0:2 ✺
25.08.20	Guangzhou City - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
19.08.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
09.08.20	Guangzhou City - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:2
02.08.19	Guangzhou City - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	2:2
21.04.19	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou City	5:1
26.08.18	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou City	2:0
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.18	Guangzhou City - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	3:2
08.07.18	Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou City	0:0
Chinese Super League
06.04.18	Guangzhou City - Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty	0:2

Jiangsu Guoxin Sainty - Guangzhou City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide