The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou City 34.4%
Draw 28.8%
Shenzhen 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
27.8%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
28.3%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou City's performance.
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.2%
14.7%
47.1%
Guangzhou City - Shenzhen Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen: 30.3% – 63.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), has project points - 21, has currently - 21, was already of relegated.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 1.
Recent matches Guangzhou City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Shenzhen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Guangzhou City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Shenzhen have a series of guest games.
Shenzhen will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.