Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 16

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.44
	6	4.2	1.44	Watch
	6.81	4.38	1.45
	6.45	4.21	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.25	4.3	1.42	Watch
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (5.99)	4.23 ↑ (3.93)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
14.8%

Draw
21.6%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

23.5%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

23.4%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wang Qi (G) 4. Zhu Mingxin 5. Nuer X. 36. Zhang Junzhe 17. Xu Dongdong 24. Du Junpeng 16. Hu Jiaqi 13. Zhang Yanjun 11. Brown T. 10. Willie 29. Fortes F.	13. Dong Yifan (G) 44. Fan Chao 4. Nunez V. 5. Hu Mingfei 2. Wang Huapeng 29. Shan P. 17. Sun Weizhe 33. Ye Chongqiu 37. Giovanny 7. Hevel H. 10. Bammou Y.
Substitutes
44. Abdukerim Qaharman 19. Chen Junxu (G) 30. Gao Mingyi 33. Kang Zhenjie 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 6. Song Ziwenhao 37. Wang J. 7. Wu Linfeng 8. Xie Weichao 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang	23. Bai Jiajun 22. He L. (G) 12. Huang Xin 8. Hu Jiajin 11. Hu Rentian 25. Liu Yang 18. Lu Pin 19. Wang Jingbin 15. Yang Minjie 3. Yi Xianlong 6. Zhang Wentao 28. Zhang Xiangshuo
Coaches
Li Zheng	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Shan P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shan P. ↓, Zhang Xiangshuo ↑,
63', Sun Weizhe ↓, Hu Rentian ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Bammou Y. ⚽, Zhang Xiangshuo (A),
68', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
69', Hu Jiaqi ↓, Xie Weichao ↑,
76', Nuer X. ↓, Abdukerim Qaharman ↑,
80', Fan Chao ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
86', Willie ↓, Wang J. ↑,
86', Brown T. ↓, Muhta Muzapar ↑,
90+2', Bammou Y. ↓, Liu Yang ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 1.

Jiangxi Lushan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangxi Lushan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
29.06.24	Wuxi Wugou - Jiangxi Lushan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Zhejiang Professional	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
16.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Suzhou Dongwu	2:5 ✺
08.06.24	Foshan Nanshi - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
29.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns	4:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
09.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0
05.11.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1
22.07.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:2
27.09.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1
11.09.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2
Chinese Yi League
20.07.19	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2
23.06.19	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0

Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide