Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 12

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Referee: Gu Zhongchao (Chn)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.75	3.3	1.9
	3.89	3.35	1.96
	3.89	3.35	1.96
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.7	3.36	1.89	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.85)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
24.8%

Draw
27.6%

Guangzhou Evergrande
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.4%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.3%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Chen Junxu (G) 7. Wu Linfeng 13. Zhang Yanjun 4. Zhu Mingxin 16. Hu Jiaqi 17. Xu Dongdong 18. Faye M. 11. Brown T. 25. Wang Hongbin 10. Willie 44. Abdukerim Qaharman	1. Askhan (G) 5. Wang Shilong 18. Liao Jintao 15. Xu Bin 3. Liu Langzhou 27. Wang Junyang 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 7. Kurban Eysajan 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
20. Cui Hao 30. Gao Mingyi 12. Han Zhen (G) 33. Kang Zhenjie 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 32. Nihmat Nihat 6. Song Ziwenhao 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang	30. Bai Yutao 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 21. Wang Shijie 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 16. Zhang Zhixiong
Coaches
Yue S.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Aniwar Abduwahap ⚽,
30', Chen Junxu 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Alegria J. (Pen),
40', 1 - 2, Willie ⚽, Brown T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Wang Junyang ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Hou Yu ⚽, Alegria J. (A),
54', Wang Hongbin ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Willie ⚽, Wu Linfeng (A),
67', Kurban Eysajan ↓, Wang Shijie ↑,
68', Zhang Yanjun 🟨,
69', Wu Linfeng ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
80', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
83', Hu Jiaqi ↓, Gao Mingyi ↑,
83', Yao Zixuan ↓, Song Ziwenhao ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Alegria J. ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
90+1', Wu Yongqiang 🟨,
90+2', Xu Dongdong 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 5, Liao Jintao ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 6).

Jiangxi Lushan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of guest games.

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangxi Lushan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
25.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan	1:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Young Boy	0:3 ✺
05.05.24	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
25.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
14.10.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:3
28.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1

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