Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.8
	3.5	4	1.87
	3.64	3.86	1.88
	3.64	3.86	1.81
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	3.75	3.95	1.79	Watch
	3.55	3.8	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.82)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
25.7%

Draw
23.9%

Wuhan Three Towns
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

23.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

20.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guangxi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Giovanny ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Giovanny ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Giovanny ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
59', 3 - 1, Pedro H. ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, Giovanny ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Pedro H. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 3, Tao Qianglong ⚽,

Preview

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wuhan Three Towns is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wuhan Three Towns is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:4 ✺
25.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
21.05.24	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
17.05.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan Three Towns	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.08.19	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1
19.05.19	Wuhan Three Towns - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1

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