Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Joane		Paredes

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	6.44	3.64	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (4.83)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joane
15.2%

Draw
25.4%

Paredes
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

26%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

25%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joane than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Joane - Paredes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 🟥,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Joane is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paredes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Paredes is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joane won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Joane
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.02.25	Limianos - Joane	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Joane - Dumiense	4:3 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL
- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.02.25	Paredes - Bragança	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Paredes - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Os Sandinenses - Paredes	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Paredes - Brito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Paredes - Joane	4:1

Joane - Paredes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide