Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Joane		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	4.1	3.2	1.85
	4.13	3.3	1.81
	4.1	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.91)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)	1.99 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joane
24.8%

Draw
28.8%

Rebordosa
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joane's form might have worsened.

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebordosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joane than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebordosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joane - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Freitas Brandao R. F. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Silva M. ⚽,
20', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 1, Silva M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Joane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Joane won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Joane
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.25	Os Sandinenses - Joane	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Joane - Paredes	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Limianos - Joane	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Joane - Dumiense	4:3 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWL
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.25	Rebordosa - Bragança	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Rebordosa - Brito	3:4 ✺
16.02.25	Rebordosa - Os Sandinenses	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Paredes - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.11.24	Rebordosa - Joane	3:0

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