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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 36.8%
Draw 22.5%
GVVV 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
23.9%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
23%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GVVV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Almere City - GVVV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 58. Apinsa D. 45. Pennock B. 33. van Gom J. 27. Pinas J. 35. Kuiper J. 46. Smit M. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Lever S. (C) 37. Ghogli I. 29. Huisman B.
1. van Kouwen R. (G) 22. Dumay Q. 8. Maguire B. (C) 29. Slijkhuis G. 20. Potjes J. 15. de Leeuw D. 10. Veenhof Q. 23. Vink W. 21. Spies J. 9. Latif I. 14. Meeuwsen K.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 49. Bais A. 42. de Beer J. 57. Hagedoorn S. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 53. Zijsling J.
2. Dilrosun T. 31. Evora E. (G) 4. Hillen K. 19. Ouamar A. 7. Sint V. 11. Sow S. 3. Willems M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Meeuwsen K. ⚽, Veenhof Q. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Lever S. ⚽, Huisman B. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Lenssen L. ⚽, Lever S. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Veenhof Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', Lenssen L. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
59', 3 - 2, Ghogli I. ⚽,
66', van Gom J. ↓, Zijsling J. ↑,
75', 4 - 2, Huisman B. ⚽, Bais A. (A),
75', Ghogli I. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
75', Huisman B. ↓, de Beer J. ↑,
76', Pennock B. ↓, Abdulmahmoud S. ↑,
77', Latif I. ↓, Sint V. ↑,
77', Meeuwsen K. ↓, Sow S. ↑,
79', 5 - 2, Lever S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Vink W. ↓, Ouamar A. ↑,
80', de Leeuw D. ↓, Dilrosun T. ↑,
85', 5 - 3, Sow S. ⚽, Spies J. (A),
86', 5 - 4, Potjes J. ⚽, Veenhof Q. (A),
90', Slijkhuis G. ↓, Willems M. ↑,
90+4', Pinas J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2.
Recent performances by Jong Almere City have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GVVV is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Almere City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Jong Almere City
8
2
1
5
15:17
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Almere City - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
GVVV - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Mateyo M. (G) 
Apinsa D. 
Evora E. (G) 
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