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Current Win Probability
José Bonifácio 37.6%
Draw 30.7%
America SP 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
28.8%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
27.8%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
José Bonifácio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that José Bonifácio's form might have worsened.
America SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting America SP's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for José Bonifácio than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for José Bonifácio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for America SP than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for America SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
José Bonifácio - America SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
Now, both teams are in good form.
America SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
José Bonifácio could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, José Bonifácio won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, José Bonifácio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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