Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Joseense		Paulista

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.22	2.94	2.29	Watch
	3.22	2.94	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.26 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joseense
28.2%

Draw
31.7%

Paulista
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joseense's form might have worsened.

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paulista's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joseense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paulista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joseense - Paulista Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Barretos - Joseense	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Joseense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:0 ✺
12.03.25	Joseense - Araçatuba	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Joseense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWLT
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	VOCEM - Paulista	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Taquaritinga - Paulista	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Araçatuba - Paulista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Paulista - Joseense	2:2
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0

Joseense - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide