Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	VOCEM		Paulista

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.35	3.2	2.03
	3.46	3.21	2.05	Watch
	3.51	3.22	1.99
	3.35	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.21)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VOCEM
27.1%

Draw
28.5%

Paulista
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VOCEM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VOCEM than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

VOCEM - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 🟥,
43', 1 - 1, Rafael Tanque ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Paulista is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

VOCEM is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paulista is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

VOCEM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paulista will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Operária Clube Esporte Mariano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.25	Nacional SP - VOCEM	0:3 ✺
11.03.25	Matonense - VOCEM	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	VOCEM - União Barbarense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Taquaritinga - VOCEM	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	VOCEM - Colorado Caieiras	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWLT
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Taquaritinga - Paulista	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Araçatuba - Paulista	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Paulista - Colorado Caieiras	3:5 ✺
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLL

VOCEM - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide