The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 41%
Draw 28.9%
Chivas Guadalajara 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
28.9%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
29.3%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 4. Castillo M. 3. Granados N. 18. Kaci A. 8. Mercado L. (C) 22. Mora Bianca 7. Palafox N. 14. Rodriguez M. 23. Solis B.
1. Espino C. (G) 23. Casarez J. A. 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 5. Ferral C. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 16. Gonzalez E. 8. Jaramillo C. 7. Montero C. 17. Villarreal N.
Substitutes
29. Arreola A. 21. Cadena M. 16. Espinoza G. 30. Fuentes D. 12. Holguin C. (G) 5. Lopez Y. 11. Martin D. 27. Sanchez Stickel E. R. 13. Solorzano A. 10. Zuazua M.
14. De La Rosa J. 15. Esquivias I. 12. Felix Castro B. M. (G) 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 21. Lopez S. 25. Montoya J. 30. Salazar E. 76. Urbano M. 9. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Fernandez Novillo O.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Castillo M. 🟨,
34', Cervantes A. 🟨,
38', Casarez J. A. 🟨,
40', Asantewaa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Solis B. ↓, Sanchez Stickel E. R. ↑,
57', Palafox N. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Asantewaa G. ⚽,
67', Villarreal N. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
72', Asantewaa G. ↓, Zuazua M. ↑,
72', Castillo M. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
79', Zuazua M. 🟨,
83', Franco Y. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
83', Casarez J. A. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
87', Granados N. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', Kaci A. ↓, Cadena M. ↑,
90+1', Cervantes A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
Juárez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Mexico
Usa
Watch
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Alvarado E. (G) 
Asantewaa G. 
Kaci A. 
Lopez Y. 
Martin D. 
Solorzano A. 
Fernandez Novillo O. 
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