The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 19.1%
Draw 23.9%
Club América 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
26.5%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.2%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juárez's form might have worsened.
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club América's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Juárez - Club América Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 20%). América will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Half - Juárez (4.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 3. Murillo J. 2. Sepulveda G. 20. Aquino J. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 5. Garcia D. 9. Madson 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 5. Alvarez K. 28. Sanchez E. 13. Cervantes A. 12. Violante I. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H. (C)
Substitutes
201. Carmona J. 7. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 14. Lopez E. 4. Mayorga A. 6. Monchu 23. Ortega H. 21. Ricardinho 27. Ruiz G. (G) 16. Sigala J.
186. Arriaga D. 26. Borja C. 189. Cardenas A. 6. Cerrillo E. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 22. Perea O. 33. Salas P. 21. Tapia F. (G) 32. Vazquez M.
Coaches
Valero S.
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Madson 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Martin H. ⚽, Alvarez K. (A),
41', Murillo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Aquino J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Madson ↓, Monchu ↑,
72', Violante I. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
72', Rodriguez B. ↓, Arriaga D. ↑,
77', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
79', Aquino J. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
79', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
82', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
83', Reyes I. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
83', Espinoza D. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
83', Sanchez E. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
87', Garcia D. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
90+7', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
Recent performances by Juárez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
América is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Juárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
Recently, América has had a series of home games.
In this match, América is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Juárez: Ayon E.
(Injury)
Romero L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Malagon L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Juárez: Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in América: Zendejas A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
9
6
2
1
21:10
11
20
18
Juarez
10
1
0
9
7:25
-18
3
Last Results with these Odds
Juárez - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.04%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Jurado S. (C) 
Murillo J. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Rodriguez J. 
Caceres S. 
Monchu 
Ricardinho 
Cerrillo E. 
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