The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 69.2%
Draw 18.9%
Tijuana 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
22.6%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
20.3%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Juárez - Tijuana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. (C) 24. Galvez Luna R. 22. Mora Bianca 3. Granados N. 8. Mercado L. 4. Castillo M. 9. Herrera Monge M. 18. Kaci A. 16. Espinoza G. 13. Solorzano A.
78. Del Real B. (G) 24. Fong M. 3. Enrigue J. (C) 2. Diaz K. 4. Ojeda D. 6. Ibarra F. 17. Motau A. 8. Marroquin A. M. 18. Carter T. 10. Hancar K. 20. Carrandi D.
Substitutes
29. Blanco A. 19. Caicedo F. 12. Holguin C. (G) 5. Lopez Y. 11. Martin D. 6. Murillo A. 7. Palafox N. 17. Peraza C. 23. Solis B. 10. Zuazua M.
22. Bautista E. 11. Fuentes D. 7. Garcia J. 14. Gonzalez V. 21. Moran L. 27. Parra L. 1. Paz A. (G) 32. Rojo N. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G. 9. Surovtseva M.
Coaches
Fernandez Novillo O.
Samayoa F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kaci A. ⚽, Herrera Monge M. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Solorzano A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Solorzano A. ⚽, Herrera Monge M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 3 - 1, Carter T. ⚽, Motau A. (A),
48', 4 - 1, Solorzano A. ⚽, Kaci A. (A),
63', Ibarra F. ↓, Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↑,
66', Castillo M. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
66', Kaci A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
66', Herrera Monge M. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
70', Marroquin A. M. 🟨,
76', Ojeda D. 🟨,
77', Enrigue J. ↓, Parra L. ↑,
77', Fong M. ↓, Bautista E. ↑,
77', Carrandi D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
77', Solorzano A. ↓, Solis B. ↑,
79', 5 - 1, Solis B. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Mercado L. ↓, Blanco A. ↑,
85', Hancar K. 🟨,
87', Motau A. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Playoffs and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.
Juárez arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Tijuana is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Juárez as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Juárez in today's match, at odds of 1.42.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Juárez has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juárez against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).
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Alvarado E. (G) 
Galvez Luna R. 
Herrera Monge M. 
Kaci A. 
Solorzano A. 
Ojeda D. 
Motau A. 
Carter T. 
Hancar K. 
Caicedo F. 
Martin D. 
Fuentes D. 
Surovtseva M. 
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