Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Juan Aurich		Chavelines Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	4.5
	1.44	5	4.6
	1.48	5.29	4.57
	1.42	5.25	4.6
	1.38	6.05	4.62
	1.44	5.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	5.3 ↑ (4.15)	4.6 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
63.2%

Draw
17.1%

Chavelines Juniors
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

20.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chavelines Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Juan Aurich - Chavelines Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Juan Aurich will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Chavelines Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juan Aurich: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 13).

Juan Aurich is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chavelines Juniors has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Juan Aurich is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Aurich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
18.09.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Juan Aurich	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Juan Aurich - Cusco	0:3 ✺
04.09.22	Unión Comercio - Juan Aurich	4:0 ✺
28.08.22	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Chavelines Juniors
Peruvian Liga 2
18.09.22	Chavelines Juniors - Unión Huaral	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Deportivo Coopsol - Chavelines Juniors	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Chavelines Juniors - Santos	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Los Chankas - Chavelines Juniors	3:2 ✺
21.08.22	Chavelines Juniors - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.22	Chavelines Juniors - Juan Aurich	1:1
27.09.21	Chavelines Juniors - Juan Aurich	3:2
15.07.21	Juan Aurich - Chavelines Juniors	1:1
17.11.20	Chavelines Juniors - Juan Aurich	2:0

Juan Aurich - Chavelines Juniors