Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday


	Chavelines Juniors		Santos

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.61
	5.5	4.75	1.34
	5.6	4.6	1.4
	4.77	4.51	1.48
	6	4.33	1.4
	4.9	4.48	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (3.64)	4.45 ↑ (3.44)	1.46 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chavelines Juniors
17.6%

Draw
20.3%

Santos
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.3%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chavelines Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chavelines Juniors's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chavelines Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Chavelines Juniors - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chavelines Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Santos will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 2).

Chavelines Juniors is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Santos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chavelines Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chavelines Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chavelines Juniors
Peruvian Liga 2
28.08.22	Los Chankas - Chavelines Juniors	3:2 ✺
21.08.22	Chavelines Juniors - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:1 ✺
14.08.22	Pirata - Chavelines Juniors	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Chavelines Juniors - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Cusco - Chavelines Juniors	Cusco awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTLT?
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
28.08.22	Santos - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Cusco - Santos	4:1 ✺
14.08.22	Santos - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
05.06.22	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	3:0
09.08.21	Chavelines Juniors - Santos	3:0
26.05.21	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	2:1
18.12.20	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	1:3

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