Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Juan Aurich		Unión Huaral

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.61	3.44	5.01
	1.78	3.25	4.2
	1.65	3.5	5.15
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.87)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	4.66 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
53.9%

Draw
26.7%

Unión Huaral
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Aurich's performance.

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Aurich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Huaral could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 10. Lugo K. (C) 19. Malpartida M. 2. Pacheco O. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 21. Salcedo J.	32. Silva L. (G) 20. Ardiles R. 3. Carnelos J. 19. Carrillo A. 7. Chinga R. 21. Lopez M. 30. Marina J. 14. Rengifo R. (C) 25. Serrano B. 24. Sulca J. 11. Ubierna B.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 2.

Juan Aurich is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Huaral has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Juan Aurich have a series of guest games.

Recently Unión Huaral have a series of home games.

In this match Juan Aurich is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Aurich won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
09.07.23	Santos - Juan Aurich	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Aurich	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
18.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTWL
- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
09.07.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
03.07.23	Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
27.06.23	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	3:0 ✺
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
19.06.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Unidos	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3
07.08.22	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	4:1
08.05.22	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	0:0
24.09.21	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	3:3
12.07.21	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:0
23.12.20	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	3:4 ET
27.10.20	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3

Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide