Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II (Chongoyape)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juan Pablo II College		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.70
	2.32	3.2	3	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.22
	2.56	2.92	3.02	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.4	3.02	3.08	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)	3.07 ↑ (2.96)	3.05 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Grau
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 60. Miguez P. (C) 33. Almiron M. 19. Reyna P. 14. Carhualllanqui J. 37. Rojas A. 88. Torres J. 50. Alaniz M. 26. Agurto F. 25. Leguizamon N.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 8. Vasquez C. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 6. Rodas E. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 77. Da Luz M. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 99. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
16. Anton P. 8. Flores C. 7. Henricks A. 89. Posito J. 13. Puno B. 12. Quispe I. (G) 18. Ramirez E. 15. Ramirez N. 71. Villanueva C.	16. Ataupillco J. 7. Barreto D. 21. Correa E. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Delgadillo N. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 24. Ruidiaz Y. 3. Tapia I. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Araujo J.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Rodas E. 🟨,
39', Torres J. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Toledo J. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
46', Carhualllanqui J. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
50', Da Luz M. 🟨,
56', Leguizamon N. ↓, Posito J. ↑,
68', Da Luz M. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
68', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
68', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
71', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
79', Rojas A. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
85', de la Cruz A. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
85', Fernandez A. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juan Pablo II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Grau - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.53%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
02.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Juan Pablo II College - ADA Jaén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTT
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
09.07.26	Atlético Grau - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 penalties ✺
26.06.26	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.26	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	1:2
08.11.25	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	3:1
06.07.25	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	2:0

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