The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 55.3%
Draw 25.4%
Carlos A. Mannucci 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
25.1%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
25.2%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Atlético Grau - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 66. de la Cruz A. 17. Espinoza H. 99. Fernandez A. 5. Guarderas R. 6. Rodas E. 4. Rodriguez D. 3. Tapia I. 27. Tapia R. 20. Vasquez A.
49. Valladares G. (G) 5. Aguirre J. 4. Aparicio K. (C) 31. Caballero E. 36. Chicoma D. 27. Fernandez R. 34. Montalva A. 10. Munoz J. 7. Murillo M. 6. Ramos G. 3. Salazar V.
Substitutes
2. Acevedo L. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 21. Correa E. 10. de la Cruz P. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 13. Oncoy F. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 29. Saavedra G.
14. Alvarez L. 16. Barriga F. 70. Cotito A. 11. Nunez J. 28. Olano J. 30. Portugal B. 22. Rios J. 19. Solar A. 1. Vargas J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Valladares G. (Own goal),
28', Murillo M. 🟨,
28', Tapia I. 🟨,
36', Salazar V. 🟨,
38', Aguirre J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Fernandez R. ⚽,
45+4', Montalva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Espinoza H. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
46', Rodas E. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
46', Montalva A. ↓, Solar A. ↑,
51', (Penalty Awarded),
59', Vasquez A. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
68', Guarderas R. 🟨,
68', Fernandez A. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
72', Ramos G. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
77', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', Chicoma D. ↓, Olano J. ↑,
82', Fernandez R. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
90+3', Murillo M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Aparicio K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Alvarez P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Aguirre J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ruidiaz Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tapia I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rios J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Guarderas R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nunez J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Caballero E. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Alfaro Martinez G. E. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Solar A. (Penalty Awarded),
7, de la Cruz P. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Alvarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Tapia R. (Penalty Awarded),
9, (Penalty Awarded),
9, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Grau is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Watch
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Alvarez P. (C) 
Fernandez A. 
Tapia I. 
Tapia R. 
Munoz J. 
Lavandeira Hernandez P. 
Saavedra G. 
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