Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)


	Juan Pablo II College		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.63	3.6	4.75
	1.64	3.4	4.63
	1.64	3.56	5.04	Watch
	1.64	3.56	4.86
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	4.81 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
55.7%

Draw
25.5%

Pirata
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

24.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Juan Pablo II College - Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 26. Agurto F. 25. Alfani R. 5. Anton P. 29. Aragon F. 24. Collante G. 28. Duran J. (C) 49. Guevara A. 77. Rodriguez A. 18. Rodriguez F. 13. Rodriguez N.	74. Lozada J. (G) 23. Butron F. 6. Carrillo L. (C) 3. Diez Canseco P. 7. Dominguez A. 17. Fernandez F. 5. Hoyos H. 16. Paredes R. 14. Quiroz G. 32. Suclupe M. 28. Zarate M.
Substitutes
8. Alva P. 9. Burga E. 20. Chuna L. 1. Cordova A. (G) 15. Marotazo N. 16. Olivera M. 14. Silva S. 4. Torres C. 21. Valderrama A.	9. Almircar Rai C. C. 13. Diaz L. 15. Gadea A. 8. Hidalgo S. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 27. Lasso C. 22. Peralta M. 20. Robles R. 26. Santos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Aragon F. ⚽,
19', Guevara A. 🟨,
36', Paredes R. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
37', 🟨,
41', Suclupe M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Butron F. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
47', Fernandez F. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
52', Santos S. 🟨,
54', Anton P. 🟨,
68', Zarate M. ↓, Lasso C. ↑,
68', Carrillo L. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
77', Dominguez A. ↓, Almircar Rai C. C. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Juan Pablo II College is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pirata is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juan Pablo II College could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juan Pablo II College is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Juan Pablo II College won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Pablo II College won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 2
17.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
11.08.24	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Juan Pablo II College - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTLL
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
18.08.24	Pirata - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Ayacucho - Pirata	4:1 ✺
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Pirata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2
25.05.24	Pirata - Juan Pablo II College	1:2

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