Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.5
	1.4	4.27	6.27
	1.41	4.35	6.64	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.39	4.4	6.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.92)	4.22 ↑ (3.3)	6.52 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
64.7%

Draw
21.4%

Juan Pablo II College
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo II College might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo II College could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Marcos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Ayala J. 8. Castro F. 81. Ibarguen E. 26. Layza M. 3. Mena J. 10. Munoz J. 6. Sanchez A. 4. Soto J. 29. Vasquez J. 7. Velarde M.	23. Vega M. (G) 26. Agurto F. 25. Alfani R. 11. Aliaga R. 29. Aragon F. 24. Collante G. 49. Guevara A. 77. Rodriguez A. 18. Rodriguez F. 13. Rodriguez N. 21. Valderrama A.
Substitutes
11. Aguirre W. 2. Estacio M. 15. Medina G. 25. Medrano A. 17. Rengifo D. 12. Sandi M. (G) 30. Tuesta J. 16. Vargas C. 19. Velasquez A.	8. Alva P. 30. Asenjo A. 9. Burga E. 27. Canova J. 20. Chuna L. 1. Cordova A. (G) . Espinoza 15. Marotazo N. 4. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Munoz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
63', Vasquez J. ↓, Tuesta J. ↑,
63', Munoz J. ↓, Medrano A. ↑,
89', Castro F. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.24	Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos	5:0 ✺
18.08.24	San Marcos - Ayacucho	4:3 ✺
12.08.24	Cantolao - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTT
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
11.08.24	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.07.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0
30.05.24	Juan Pablo II College - San Marcos	3:2
Peruvian Copa
22.11.23	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	3:2 penalties

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