Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)


	Ayacucho		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.35	4.5	7.5
	1.35	4.68	7.56	Watch
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.31	4.75	8.15
	1.35	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	4.47 ↑ (4)	7.34 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
67.2%

Draw
20.4%

Pirata
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ayacucho - Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 2. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 24. de la Cruz A. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. 13. Rodriguez L. 5. Simon C. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.	74. Lozada J. (G) 6. Carrillo L. 3. Diez Canseco P. 17. Fernandez F. 15. Gadea A. 5. Hoyos H. 2. Peralta M. 14. Quiroz G. 20. Robles R. 32. Suclupe M. 28. Zarate M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Quiroz G. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Rios M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
31', Peralta S. 🟨,
34', 3 - 1, Peralta S. ⚽,
36', Robles R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Robles R. ↓, Lasso C. ↑,
46', Gadea A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
51', 4 - 1, de la Cruz A. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', Robles R. 🟥,
62', Aquino H. 🟥,
65', Zarate M. ↓, Ramirez Duarte P. A. ↑,
65', Suclupe M. ↓, Cisneros Guerrero A. ↑,
68', Peralta S. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
68', de la Cruz A. ↓, Huayhua C. ↑,
68', Rios M. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
75', Hoyos H. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
76', Vilchez J. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
81', Carrillo L. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
84', Tuesta J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,

Preview

Ayacucho is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pirata is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ayacucho is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
22.07.24	Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho	Ayacucho awarded ✺
14.07.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Ayacucho - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?LLTW
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Pirata	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	ADA Jaén - Pirata	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Pirata - Carlos Stein	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.23	Pirata - Ayacucho	2:0

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