Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sergipe |
|
Penedense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.51 |
3.75 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.51 |
3.46 |
6.34 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.61 |
3.56 |
6.02 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.78 |
5.51 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.68) |
3.64 ↓
(3.65) |
5.78 ↑
(4.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sergipe
59.4% | Draw
24.9% | Penedense
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penedense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penedense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sergipe - Penedense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Junior Sergipano ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 0, Reny Max ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).Sergipe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Penedense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Sergipe is the team to beat.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).Including home match between the teams, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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