Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 15 June 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Alfredo Leahy (Penedo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Penedense |
|
Juazeirense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.3 |
2.95 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.63 |
2.97 |
2.52 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.67 |
2.94 |
2.53 |
|
 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.52) |
2.94 ↓
(3.25) |
2.28 ↑
(2.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penedense
29.4% | Draw
30.8% | Juazeirense
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juazeirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juazeirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Penedense - Juazeirense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penedense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).Penedense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Juazeirense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Juazeirense has had a series of home games. Juazeirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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