The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 12.3%
Draw 21.9%
Atlético Nacional 65.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.5%
20.2%
69.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10%
19.3%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Reyes L. (G) 16. Carrasquilla D. 23. Martinez F. 2. Ulacio Y. 13. Vega E. 10. Navarro L. 25. Castano L. 14. Rodriguez D. 20. Sanchez Y. 7. Baldovino M. 18. Julio D.
22. Castano S. (G) 16. Garcia S. 6. Ocampo L. 3. Zambrano A. 15. Vidal K. 5. Cedeno S. 7. Martinez S. 8. Moreno M. 21. Ibarguen K. 18. Sterling M. 9. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
15. Bonett S. 22. Garnica L. (G) 19. Gomez P. 6. Herrera R. 5. Moreno Y. 17. Mosquera Y. 24. Nunez A. 4. Paez M. 9. Ruiz J.
10. Alvarez L. 4. Isaza E. 19. Mosquera M. 27. Orozco M. 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 1. Villareal A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Ulacio Y. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
23', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
45+1', Garcia S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 1 - 0, Sanchez Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Moreno M. ↓, Mosquera M. ↑,
67', Castano L. 🟨,
73', Rodriguez D. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
73', Julio D. ↓, Bonett S. ↑,
74', Ocampo L. 🟨,
78', Ibarguen K. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
78', Ocampo L. ↓, Isaza E. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽, Sterling M. (A),
90+1', Sanchez Y. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Sterling M. ⚽,
90+6', Sterling M. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlético Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.4).
Including home match between the teams, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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Reyes L. (G) 
Ulacio Y. 
Zambrano A. 
Gomez P. 
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