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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 31.1%
Draw 30.3%
Inter Palmira 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
27.4%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
26.6%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junior Barranquilla's performance.
Inter Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Palmira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Palmira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Junior Barranquilla - Inter Palmira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ceballos K. (G) 14. Cardona M. 20. Carrasquilla D. 16. Castaneda M. 13. Cordero C. 6. Hernandez P. 5. Herrera V. 18. Julio D. 9. Mendoza O. 10. Rodriguez W. 3. Romero J.
1. Cardozo L. (G) 15. Caicedo A. 18. Castillo M. 19. Hoyos A. 9. Marquinez M. 16. Montano L. 8. Ordonez A. 21. Pavi V. 11. Perez L. 20. Sanchez Y. 2. Vasquez S.
Substitutes
8. Arroyo C. 21. De la Hoz D. 12. Gonzalez V. (G) 17. Herrera R. 4. Marin S. 23. Montano C. 2. Morales M.
12. Aguilar A. (G) 17. Arias Y. 7. Castro A. 5. Guzman D. 10. Sanchez I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Cordero C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hoyos A. ↓, Arias Y. ↑,
59', Castillo M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
60', Rodriguez W. ↓, Arroyo C. ↑,
70', Mendoza O. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
73', Pavi V. 🟨,
78', Vasquez S. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
79', Perez L. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
82', Arroyo C. 🟨,
88', Carrasquilla D. ↓, Herrera R. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Marquinez M. ⚽, Caicedo A. (A),
90+1', Marquinez M. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
Junior is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Inter Palmira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Inter Palmira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Junior won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).