Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 30

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Justo José de Urquiza		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.63	2.83	2.82
	2.53	3.04	2.77	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	2.77 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
35.8%

Draw
31.4%

Ferrocarril Midland
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

32.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Justo José de Urquiza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Justo José de Urquiza won 2.

Recent matches Justo José de Urquiza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrocarril is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrocarril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Justo José de Urquiza won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Justo José de Urquiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
29.07.23	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
19.07.23	Sportivo Italiano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Berazategui	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Club Luján - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLWW
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - General Lamadrid	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 ✺
19.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
14.07.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Victoriano Arenas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
02.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2
10.04.18	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3
12.11.17	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2
02.05.17	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
17.10.16	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	2:1
11.06.16	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1

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