Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday


	Justo José de Urquiza		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.7	2.4
	2.95	2.8	2.5
	3.05	2.75	2.45
	3.14	2.77	2.65
	3	2.62	2.5
	2.92	2.89	2.47
	3.1	2.75	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.4)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	2.49 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
30.3%

Draw
33.1%

UAI Urquiza
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

31.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

30.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justo José de Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Justo José de Urquiza's performance.

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UAI Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justo José de Urquiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UAI Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Justo José de Urquiza - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Justo José Urquiza will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Justo José Urquiza: 11.5% – 55.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Justo José de Urquiza won 4.

Justo José de Urquiza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UAI Urquiza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UAI Urquiza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's UAI Urquiza to win the game is with odds 2.16.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Justo José de Urquiza won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Justo José de Urquiza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
17.09.22	Sportivo Dock Sud - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	San Miguel - Justo José de Urquiza	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Justo José de Urquiza - Fénix	0:1 ✺
23.08.22	Ituzaingó - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
17.09.22	UAI Urquiza - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	UAI Urquiza - Colegiales	0:3 ✺
27.08.22	Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	UAI Urquiza - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Defensores Unidos - UAI Urquiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
30.08.21	Justo José de Urquiza - UAI Urquiza	2:1
17.04.21	UAI Urquiza - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2
08.03.20	UAI Urquiza - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0
24.09.19	Justo José de Urquiza - UAI Urquiza	1:0
02.02.19	UAI Urquiza - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1
25.08.18	Justo José de Urquiza - UAI Urquiza	0:0

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