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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 58.8%
Draw 24.2%
UAI Urquiza 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
30.3%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
29.2%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Burzaco's performance.
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UAI Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Burzaco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UAI Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de Burzaco - UAI Urquiza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Navarro Montoya E. (G) 4. Lazarev R. 2. Diaz S. 6. Molina B. 3. Geneiro L. 8. Roth J. 5. Benitez F. 7. Modon S. 11. Camejo F. 18. Camejo J. 9. Chavez B.
12. Bottini A. (G) 4. Rodriguez V. 2. Ordonez C. 6. Postel F. 3. Ferrara J. 17. Galli F. 5. Madero P. 7. Arcuri L. 10. Sciacqua S. 11. Ingratti J. 9. Caceres P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Siliman A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Camejo F. ⚽,
18', Arcuri L. 🟨,
23', Alaniz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Treppo E. ⚽,
61', Arcuri L. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
61', Alaniz M. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
61', Sciacqua S. ↓, Caceres A. ↑,
61', Ismael Aguirre G. M. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
65', Galli F. 🟨,
68', Camejo F. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Mackay G. ⚽,
75', Roth J. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
75', Treppo E. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
76', 5 - 0, Chavez B. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, SM de Burzaco is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Argentina
Watch
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