Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juticalpa		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
	7.1	5.91	1.26
	7.27	6.11	1.3	Watch
	7.5	5	1.3
	8.2	5.8	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↑ (6.61)	5.71 ↑ (4.15)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juticalpa
12.2%

Draw
16%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

21.9%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.2%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Tegucigalpa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juticalpa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Juticalpa (8.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torres D. (G) 14. Altamirano C. 6. Garcia J. 20. Gonzalez R. (C) 16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 34. Ledesma D. 3. Medrano Y. 25. Mendoza D. 27. Quaye W. 24. Silva F. 9. Villafranca J.	22. Rodriguez O. (G) 23. Alvarez J. 40. Bennett C. 33. Chirinos M. (C) 77. Flores D. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 2. Hernandez E. 7. Pinto J. 5. Rivas E. 8. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
10. Canales M. 23. Castellanos H. 17. Cerrato M. 35. Facusse E. (G) 7. Fajardo A. 15. Gaboriell N. 28. Gomez A. 11. Hurtado L. 19. Ilan 18. Lacayo J. 45. Velasquez J.	12. Arzu M. 41. Avila E. 27. Bengtson J. 21. Figueroa J. 44. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 38. Mejia R. (G) 32. Mulet A. 39. Ortiz A. 76. Paguada D. 31. Sanchez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Chirinos M. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Rivas E. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Villafranca J. ⚽,
18', Bennett C. 🟨,
42', Rivas E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Medrano Y. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
46', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Pinto J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Chirinos M. ⚽,
63', Villafranca J. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
63', Gonzalez R. ↓, Canales M. ↑,
63', Altamirano C. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
71', Mendoza D. 🟨,
72', Alvarez J. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
76', 1 - 5, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
79', Pinto J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
79', Chirinos M. ↓, Arzu M. ↑,
79', Flores D. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
86', Garcia R. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 6, Figueroa J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 0.

Recent form of Juticalpa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olimpia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:49. (average 1.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.3:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.03.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Choloma - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWL
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2
19.10.25	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2
10.08.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2
11.03.25	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2
26.01.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	3:0
03.11.24	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2
25.08.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	1:1

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