Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Cartagines

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.67	3.97	4.34
	1.26	6.11	8.38	Watch
	1.7	4.75	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)	4.94 ↑ (3.28)	5.47 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
62.7%

Draw
19.6%

Cartagines
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Tegucigalpa's performance.

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Tegucigalpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Cartagines Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (C) 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Queiroz F. 5. Rivas E. 33. Chirinos M. 23. Alvarez J. 20. Maldonado A. 7. Pinto J. 9. Benguche J. 19. Arboleda Y.	1. Briceno K. (C) 6. Montero C. 5. Pereira M. 20. Mesen D. 23. Rubio E. 22. Batiz J. 7. Venegas J. 15. Flores L. 26. Alfaro B. 21. Urena M. 9. Quiroga M.
Substitutes
12. Arzu M. 27. Bengtson J. 40. Bennet C. 4. Garcia J. 44. Lobo E. 34. Lopez K. 70. Moncada D. 32. Mulet A. 76. Paguada D. 22. Salazar A. (G) 31. Sanchez C. 30. Solano E.	18. Barahona C. 30. Brizuela B. 32. Carrillo J. 17. Castrillo D. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 27. Gutierrez M. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 31. Mora J. 33. Moya C. (G) 12. Quiros J. 29. Vargas N. 24. Zuniga S.
Coaches
Espinel E.	Carevic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Benguche J. ⚽, Chirinos M. (A),
45+3', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Venegas J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Quiroga M. ⚽, Batiz J. (A),
62', Mesen D. 🟨,
66', Chirinos M. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Arboleda Y. (Pen),
75', Chirinos M. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
75', Alfaro B. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
75', Montero C. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
81', Batiz J. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Benguche J. ⚽, Arboleda Y. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Olimpia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cartagines has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Choloma	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.25	Cartagines - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.09.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:3 ✺
18.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Génesis PN	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
28.09.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.25	Cartagines - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.09.25	Cartagines - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Cartagines - Pérez Zeledón	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	San Carlos - Cartagines	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.25	Cartagines - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2

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