Match Info
Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Honduras | Deportes TV |
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Juticalpa |
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Victoria La Ceiba |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.35 |
3.46 |
2.82 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
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2.3 |
3.18 |
2.84 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 (2.3) |
3.31 ↑ (3.13) |
2.79 ↓ (2.89) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Juticalpa 39.7% | Draw 27.6% | Victoria La Ceiba 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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22. Calix C. (G)
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10. Canales M.
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12. Casildo L.
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6. Garcia J.
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20. Gonzalez R.
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16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N.
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34. Ledesma D.
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3. Medrano Y.
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27. Quaye W.
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24. Silva F.
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9. Villafranca J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Hernandez A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
- 31', Ledesma D. 🟨,
- 45', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lahera Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 63', Medrano Y. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 63', Ledesma D. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
- 69', Kelly K. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 79', Ramirez L. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 83', Suazo O. ↓, Barrios O. ↑,
- 84', Villafranca J. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 88', Canales M. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
- 90+1', Perello M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Fajardo A. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 2.Juticalpa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Victoria La Ceiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Juticalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Juticalpa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Victoria La Ceiba - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Honduras Liga Nacional | | | 26.11.25 | Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba | 3:4 | | 13.09.25 | Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa | 2:3 | | 08.04.25 | Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba | 1:2 | | 09.02.25 | Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa | 0:1 | | 27.10.24 | Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa | 4:0 | | 17.08.24 | Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba | 1:0 | | 01.05.16 | Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;