Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Lobos UPNFM		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.23	4.59
	1.55	4.7	4.77	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.63	4.1	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	4.23 ↑ (3.8)	4.71 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
58.8%

Draw
21.7%

Juticalpa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lobos UPNFM (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guity A. (G) 22. Ardon C. 25. Banzzety J. 48. Castillo M. 4. Garcia J. 30. Herrlein L. 2. Lopez L. 8. Nunez J. 27. Pena K. 9. Rochez J. (C) 3. Rodas Andrino G. J.	1. Torres D. (C) 10. Canales M. 12. Casildo L. 33. Galindo F. 20. Gonzalez R. 16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 18. Lacayo J. 34. Ledesma D. 27. Quaye W. 24. Silva F. 9. Villafranca J.
Substitutes
65. Coello A. 21. Guity E. 55. Lagos J. (G) 26. Lopez B. 20. Lopez E. 10. Morales M. 11. Moreira R. 17. Padilla J. 7. Rochez C. 16. Vasquez E.	14. Altamirano C. 39. Centeno J. 7. Fajardo A. 15. Gaboriell N. 28. Gomez A. 11. Hurtado L. 3. Medrano Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Herrlein L. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Villafranca J. ⚽,
16', Lopez L. 🟨,
37', Galindo F. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Lacayo J. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Rochez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Villafranca J. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
46', Lopez L. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
46', Castillo M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
46', Herrlein L. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
52', Lacayo J. 🟨,
55', Fajardo A. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Pena K. ⚽,
66', Lacayo J. ↓, Altamirano C. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Galindo A. 🟨,
77', Canales M. ↓, Centeno J. ↑,
78', Silva F. 🟨,
88', 3 - 2, Moreira R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3.

Lobos UPNFM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juticalpa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lobos UPNFM is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.03.26	Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	4:3 ✺
12.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Platense - Juticalpa	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Juticalpa - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
22.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0
31.08.25	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:2
29.03.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0
29.01.25	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
06.11.24	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	3:0
31.08.24	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	4:1
10.03.19	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:0

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