The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 53.1%
Draw 24.5%
Juticalpa 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
24.9%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
22.4%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.
Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juticalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Juticalpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 17. Anaya L. 2. Barrios B. 50. Bermudez J. 15. Canales C. 23. Castillo H. 4. Cordova J. 27. Fernandez C. 22. Florez E. 5. Franco J. (C)
35. Facusse E. (G) 10. Canales M. 12. Casildo L. 6. Garcia J. 20. Gonzalez R. (C) 16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 18. Lacayo J. 34. Ledesma D. 23. Pericas H. 27. Quaye W. 24. Silva F.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 20. Arias I. 28. Barrios J. 9. Borja E. 10. Canales J. 12. Chavez Y. 25. Padilla G. 18. Quejada J. 26. Ramos G. 8. Rocha D. 6. Suazo J.
51. Bernardez K. 22. Calix C. (G) 39. Centeno J. 17. Cerrato M. 7. Fajardo A. 11. Hurtado L. 19. Ilan 3. Medrano Y. 25. Mendoza D. 37. Mendoza O. 30. Rodriguez J. J. 45. Velasquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Lacayo J. ⚽,
29', Anaya L. 🟨,
30', Silva F. 🟨,
33', Bermudez J. 🟨,
34', Barrios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Lacayo J. ↓, Medrano Y. ↑,
61', Florez E. ↓, Borja E. ↑,
61', Bermudez J. ↓, Rocha D. ↑,
61', Aceituno M. ↓, Chavez Y. ↑,
68', Canales M. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
71', Fernandez C. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
73', Pericas H. ↓, Mendoza D. ↑,
74', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Choloma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.