Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Victoria La Ceiba		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.49
	5.5	3.9	1.48
	6.09	3.97	1.49
	6.09	4.34	1.48	Watch
	6	3.6	1.5
	4.99	4.41	1.56	Watch
	5.66	3.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (4.87)	3.97 ↑ (3.7)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
16.1%

Draw
23%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.2%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Victoria La Ceiba (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Victoria La Ceiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perello M. (G) 5. Banegas A. 28. Barrios A. 3. Barrios O. 9. Blackburn R. 48. Card S. 20. Espinal M. 52. Hernandez A. 19. Lahera Y. 4. Oliva E. 38. Ramirez L.	1. Menjivar E. (G) 23. Alvarez J. 27. Bengtson J. (C) 40. Bennett C. 77. Flores D. 18. Garcia R. 2. Hernandez E. 44. Lobo E. 7. Pinto J. 5. Rivas E. 8. Rodriguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Garcia R. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
36', Flores D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Flores D. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
46', Garcia R. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
46', Barrios A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
47', Card S. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Rivas E. ⚽,
56', Card S. ↓, Sevilla L. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Blackburn R. ⚽,
69', Lobo E. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
69', Lahera Y. ↓, Bernardez C. ↑,
69', Hernandez A. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
81', Oliva E. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
81', Bengtson J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
82', Perello M. 🟨,
88', Bennett C. 🟨,
89', Bennett C. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90+1', Ramirez S. 🟨,
90+4', Barrios O. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 0.

In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	Olimpia awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 TTTT?
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.26	Club América - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
07.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
03.02.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Club América	1:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
06.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	Olimpia awarded
21.09.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:3
17.05.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
14.05.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2
11.04.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1
12.02.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1
19.10.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	4:3

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