Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Victoria La Ceiba		Olancho

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.2	1.98
	3.58	3.34	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3	2
	3.56	3.2	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.89)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)	2 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
26%

Draw
28.5%

Olancho
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

27.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria La Ceiba's form might have worsened.

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-4%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Victoria La Ceiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perello M. (G) 5. Banegas A. 9. Blackburn R. 52. Hernandez A. 8. Kelly K. 19. Lahera Y. 2. Martinez M. 38. Ramirez L. 24. Sanchez J. 65. Sevilla L. 29. Suazo O.	1. Fonseca H. (G) 17. Benitez E. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 15. Dominguez J. 24. Elvir O. 53. Hydes Rivera D. T. 3. Lasso J. 5. Martinez D. 16. Moncada M. 35. Perez S. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
3. Barrios O. 23. Bueso G. 48. Card S. 25. Chavez B. 36. Cruz A. 1. Flores E. (G) 33. Garcia J. 27. Loredo J. 42. Martinez E. 6. Matute C. 32. Monico D. 16. Portillo A.	29. Argueta G. (G) 11. Calix C. 23. Delgado J. 8. Gomez H. 34. Lopez K. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 27. Murillo A. 63. Pena M. 50. Rivera A. 7. Rodriguez D. 18. Villatoro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Sanchez J. 🟨,
13', Banegas A. 🟨,
20', Perez S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Blackburn R. ⚽,
32', Moncada M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
46', Hydes Rivera D. T. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Gomez H. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Lahera Y. ⚽,
54', Moncada M. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
60', Perez S. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
68', Suazo O. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
68', Kelly K. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
73', Ramirez L. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
75', Bueso G. 🟨,
77', Blackburn R. ↓, Barrios O. ↑,
77', Hernandez A. ↓, Loredo J. ↑,
88', Sevilla L. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Elvir O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.

Victoria La Ceiba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olancho is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Olancho has had a series of home games.

Olancho is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWTTT
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
04.10.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:2
27.07.25	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0
05.03.25	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	0:2
18.01.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	1:1
10.11.24	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0
15.09.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	3:2
03.04.24	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0

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