The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Choloma 42.7%
Draw 26.6%
Victoria La Ceiba 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
27%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
27.4%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.
Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria La Ceiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria La Ceiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 17. Anaya L. 2. Barrios B. 9. Borja E. 23. Castillo H. 4. Cordova J. 22. Florez E. 5. Franco J. 18. Quejada J. 8. Rocha D.
12. Perello M. (G) 5. Banegas A. 9. Blackburn R. 20. Espinal M. 52. Hernandez A. 19. Lahera Y. 2. Martinez M. 4. Oliva E. 38. Ramirez L. 24. Sanchez J. 65. Sevilla L.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 20. Arias I. 28. Barrios J. 15. Canales C. 10. Canales J. 12. Chavez Y. 27. Martinez C. 3. Martinez S. 25. Padilla G. 6. Suazo J.
17. Bernardez C. 23. Bueso G. 25. Chavez B. 36. Cruz A. 1. Flores E. (G) 33. Garcia J. 8. Kelly K. 42. Martinez E. 6. Matute C. 32. Monico D. 29. Suazo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Barrios B. 🟨,
6', Martinez M. 🟨,
21', Oliva E. 🟥,
26', Ramirez L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Lahera Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franco J. ↓, Chavez Y. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Chavez Y. ⚽,
60', Lahera Y. 🟨,
63', Blackburn R. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
64', Hernandez A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
64', Espinal M. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
64', Rocha D. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
77', Lahera Y. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
78', Cordova J. ↓, Canales C. ↑,
79', Anaya L. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
83', Florez E. 🟨,
90+3', Aceituno M. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
90+5', Martinez C. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
Choloma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Victoria La Ceiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Honduras
Watch
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Pineda J. (G) 
Anaya L. 
Borja E. 
Castillo H. 
Florez E. 
Lahera Y. 
Martinez M. 
Bernardez C. 
Bueso G. 
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